As apostas baixistas sobre dólar americano foram reduzidas em mais duma mitade caindo para $3.45 bilhões a partir de $8.03 bilhões contra as moedas principais durante a semana passada, de acordo com o relatório de Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) cubrindo os dados de até 31 de outubro, lançado na sexta-feira, 3 de novembro.
The US GDP grew at above-expected 3% in third quarter. Corporate reports showed majority of companies beat expectations and economic data were mostly positive during the week. Durable goods orders rose 2.2% on month in September, above a 1% forecast and new home sales jumped 17% on year in September. Pending home sales were unchanged in September. Personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.4% on month after 0.2% increase in August as consumer spending jumped from 0.1% to 1% on month in September, the biggest gain since 2009. And dollar surged after the European Central Bank announced it would reduce its monthly asset purchases from January while extending the program through at least September 2018. On negative side advance goods trade balance widened to $64.1 billion in September following a $63.3 billion deficit in August. As is evident from the Sentiment table, sentiment deteriorated for all major currencies except the British Pound . And the Pound joined the euro, Canadian and Australian dollars as the fourth major currency held net long against the US dollar.
CFTC Sentiment vs Exchange Rate
October 31 2017 | Bias | Ex RateTrend | Position $ mln | Weekly Change |
CAD | bullish | negative | 4564 | -1144 |
AUD | bullish | neutral | 3949 | -500 |
EUR | bullish | negative | 10497 | -1780 |
GBP | bullish | negative | 103 | 225 |
CHF | bearish | positive | -2592 | -1128 |
JPY | bearish | negative | -13074 | -251 |
Total | 3447 |